用户工具

站点工具


江恩

W.D. Gann William Delbert Gann is perhaps the most mysterious of all the famous traders in history. Known for using geometry, astrology and ancient mathematics to predict events in the financial markets and historical events, Gann’s trading strategies are still widely used today, long after his death in 1955. Gann’s disciples claim he was one of the most successful stock and commodity traders who ever lived, while critics argue there’s no concrete proof he ever made a great fortune from speculation. Was Gann really a great trader, or was he merely a guru who profited from selling books and running seminars?

Early Life of W.D. Gann W.D. Gann was born in 1878 in Lufkin, Texas, the first of 11 children in an impoverished cotton-farming family. He neither graduated from grammar school nor attended high school as he was needed at home to work on the farm. His education mainly came from the Bible (he was raised a Baptist), which he used to learn to read, and in the cotton warehouses, where he learned about commodities trading. Gann started his career working at a brokerage firm in Texarkana and attending business school at night.

New York In 1903, a year after he began trading in the stock and commodity markets, Gann moved to New York City to work at a Wall Street brokerage firm. He soon opened his own brokerage firm, W.D. Gann & Company. He further developed his investment strategy as a broker as he observed the mistakes made by his clients and learned from them.

Newsletters, Books and Courses In 1919, Gann began publishing a daily market letter called The Supply and Demand Newsletter, covering stocks and commodities and making yearly forecasts. In 1923, he started another publication called The Busy Man’s Service, in which he gave specific trading recommendations. He also wrote a number of books throughout his life, including The Tunnel Thru the Air (a coded science fiction novel containing some of his core ideas) and 45 Years In Wall Street. Late in his career, he sold a ‘master course’ to private students for $5,000 apiece (roughly equivalent to $50,000 today).

Cycles Gann often quoted the Book of Ecclesiastes, chapter 1, verse 9: “That which has been is what will be, that which is done is what will be done, and there is nothing new, under the sun.” He believed everything occurring in markets has historical reference points. Essentially, everything has happened before and will eventually repeat itself. He studied ancient geometry and astrology to investigate how market events and specific numbers repeated across various time cycles.

On these cycles, he stated: “To make a success you must continue to study past records, because the market in the future will be a repetition of the past. If I have the data, I can tell by the study of cycles when a certain event will occur in the future. The limit of future predictions based on exact mathematical law is only restricted by lack of knowledge of correct data on past history to work from.”

He identified a number of time cycles of importance, viewing the 60-year cycle as being of major importance. He stated: “This is the greatest and most important cycle of all, which repeats every 60 years or at the end of the third 20-Year Cycle. You will see the importance of this by referring to the war period from 1861 to 1869 and the panic following 1869: also 60 years later – 1921 to 1929 – the greatest bull market in history and the greatest panic in history followed. This proves the accuracy and value of this great time period.” In November 1928, Gann reportedly issued an “Annual Forecast for 1929” which predicted the end of the great bull market of the 1920s on September 3, 1929 (the crash actually occurred on October 24) and the crisis that followed.

He also placed great emphasis on the 90-year cycle, which, Gann advocates say, predicts a potential financial crisis occurring in 2019. This year will be 90 years after the financial crisis of 1929, which itself occurred roughly 90 years after the Panic of 1837. And a smaller cycle of note, 144 months, also coincides with 2019: 144 months is the span between 2007 (the most recent major financial crisis) and 2019.

Some of Gann’s less esoteric ideas are commonly used in technical analysis tools today, often integrated into charting and trading software platforms. A common example is Gann fans, consisting of a series of diagonal lines called Gann angles. These angles are superimposed over a price chart to show potential support and resistance levels.

Supporters One of the strongest pieces of evidence bolstering Gann’s reputation as a master trader hails from a 1909 Ticker and Investment Digest article by Richard D. Wyckoff, a well-respected figure on Wall Street at the time. The article describes Gann’s performance recorded by an independent observer: “During the month of October, 1909, in twenty-five market days, W D Gann made, in the presence of our representative, two hundred and eighty-six transactions in various stocks, on both the long and short side of the market. Two hundred and sixty-four of these transactions resulted in profits; twenty-two in losses. The capital with which he operated was doubled ten times, so that at the end of the month he had one thousand percent of his original margin.”

Doubters At the other end of the spectrum, Alexander Elder, in his 1993 book Trading for a Living, presented a more skeptical view, later used as evidence by Gann doubters.“Various opportunists sell ‘Gann courses’ and ‘Gann software.’ They claim that Gann was one of the best traders who ever lived, that he left a $50 million estate, and so on. I interviewed W.D. Gann’s son [John L. Gann], an analyst for a Boston bank. He told me that his famous father could not support his family by trading but earned his living by writing and selling instructional courses. When W.D. Gann died in the 1950s, his estate, including his house, was valued at slightly over $100,000. The legend of W.D. Gann, the giant of trading, is perpetuated by those who sell courses and other paraphernalia to gullible customers.”

Gann defenders counter John L. Gann’s statement should be viewed with the knowledge of the bitter falling-out he had with his father, which stemmed from an ill-fated decision to join his father’s business in the 1940s—the two wound up parting ways.

The Bottom Line While the scope of W.D. Gann’s trading achievements remains unclear, it’s obvious Gann’s legacy, inflated or no, continues to fascinate traders. There will always be those in the financial markets who are looking for a mechanism (or a guru) to find order in the apparent chaos of price movements.

Gann’s Free Original Sources:

Gann, W.D. – Corn Cycles Gann, W.D. – Face Facts USA Gann, W.D. – Natural Resistence Levels & Time Cycle Points Gann, W.D. – Original Charts Gann, W.D. – Resistance Levels Gann, W.D. – Scientific Stock Forecasting Gann, W.D. – Soybeans Price Resistance Levels Gann, W.D. – Speculation as a Profitable Profession Gann, W.D. – Summary of W.D. Gann’s Techniques of Analysis Gann, W.D. – The Basis of My Forecasting Method Gann, W.D. – The Master Mathematical Price Time and Trend Calculator Gann, W.D. – The Ticker & Investment Digest

William Delbert Gann

From Wikipedia,the free encyclopedia

Jump to navigationJump to search

This article has multiple issues.Please help improve it or discuss these issues on the talk page.(Learn how and when to remove these template messages)

This article contains content that is written like an advertisement.(June 2020)

This article may contain an excessive amount of intricate detail that may interest only a particular audience.(June 2020)

This article's factual accuracy is disputed.(June 2020)

William Delbert Gann(June 6,1878–June 18,1955)or WD Gann,was a finance trader who developed the technical analysis methods like the Gann angles[1][2]and the Master Charts,[3][4]where the latter is a collective name for his various tools like the Spiral Chart(also called the Square of Nine),[5][6][7]the Hexagon Chart,[8]and the Circle of 360.[9][10]Gann market forecasting methods are purportedly based on geometry,astronomy and astrology,and ancient mathematics.[11][12][13]Opinions are sharply divided on the value and relevance of his work.[14][15][16][17]Gann authored a number of books and courses on shares and commodities trading.[18][19][20][21][22][23]

Contents

1 Biography

2 Writing style

3 Trading techniques

3.1 Planetary configurations

3.1.1 Planetary combinations for different markets

3.1.2 Planteray influences on the weather along the Mississippi

3.2 Price-zodiac conversion

3.3 Gann angles

3.4 The Spiral Chart and the Hexagon Chart

3.4.1 Overview of the Spiral Chart

3.4.1.1 Mathematical formula of the Spiral Chart

3.4.1.2 Anecdote

3.4.2 Overview of the Hexagon Chart

3.4.2.1 Mathematical formula of the Hexagon Chart

3.4.3 Practical examples

3.5 Eclipses

3.6 Planetary averages

4 Personal view on religion

5 Controversy

6 Bibliography

7 See also

8 References

9 External links

Biography

Gann was born June 6,1878 in Lufkin,Texas.His father was a cotton farmer.He started trading in 1902 when he was 24.[24]He was believed to be a great student of the Bible,[25][26]who believed that it was the greatest book ever written.[27]He was also a 33rd degree Freemason of the Scottish Rite Order,[28]to which some have attributed his knowledge of ancient mathematics,though he was also known to have studied the ancient Greek and Egyptian cultures.[29]

Writing style

Gann often wrote in an esoteric and indirect style that many found the writings of Gann difficult to follow,[28]and he could be doing so deliberately to conceal his true method.[30][31]For example,Patrick Mikula[32][33]found that,in his course How to Make Profits Trading in Commodities,[3]whenever Gann used the term“natural dates”,he was indirectly referring to one of the following astrological phenomena:

Double ingresses(when two or more planets,not counting the Moon,enter a new sign within two consecutive days)

Stations(when a direct planet turns retrograde,or vice versa)

Declination of the Moon at extreme

Eclipses

Likewise,Henry W Steele[34]demonstrates in a YouTube video that the numbers in Gann's work often refer to a different subject from what they appear on the surface.For example,on page one and two of Forty-Five Years in Wall Street,[35]there is a paragraph describing the different stocks at different prices on 14 June 1949,but Steele discovered that those“prices”are actually astrological aspects appearing in the sky on that day.

However,in his private communication,Gann was much more direct and candid about his use of astrology.For example,in a private letter to a student,he openly demonstrated how he used planetary cycles to make predictions in the coffee market.[36]

Trading techniques

Planetary configurations

Even though it is often debated that whether Gann used astrology to time the market,[13][30][26][37][38]it is found that many“natural dates”described in Gann's How to Make Profits Trading in Commodities[3]coincided with recurring astrological themes.[32]Below are some more examples in the Wheat market in How to Make Profits Trading in Commodities.[3]All the important tops and bottoms are associated with astrological patterns.[32]Please note that,although the book was published in 1941,some dates mentioned(marked with*)were far into the futures.In other words,they are forecasts by Gann in 1941:

Example Dates Wheat Market Astrological Event Patterns

1 Dec 1919 Top Sun conjuncts retrograde Mercury at 9 Sag on 12th Sun conjunct retrograde Mercury in Sagittarius.

Dec 1932 Bottom Sun conjuncts retrograde Mercury at 12 Sag on 14th

Dec 1945* Top Sun conjuncts retrograde Mercury at 14 Sag on 7th

2 May 1917 Top Sun conjuncts retrograde Mercury in 25 Tau on 16th Sun conjunct retrograde Mercury,moving 7 signs forward each time.

Dec 1932 Bottom Sun conjuncts retrograde Mercury at 12 Sag on 14th

Jul 1947* Top Sun conjuncts retrograde Mercury in 21 Can on 14th

3 Jan 1925 Top Venus conjunct Jupiter at 7 Cap on 20th Jan 11.25 geocentric revolutions(4050°)of the Venus-Jupiter synodic cycle.

Apr 1937 New High Retrograde Venus(26 Ari)square Jupiter(26 Cap)on 19th

Jul 1949* Bottom Venus(29 Can)opposite retrograde Jupiter(26 Cap)on 1st

For instance,when discussing the first example above,there is a quote from p.107:“1932-December,low…This was a decline…from the high…in December 1919;time,156 months.Add this time to December 1932,and it will balance in December 1945,making this important.”[3]On the surface,it looks like that Gann was talking about a fixed 156-month cycle.However,it turns out that all three dates coincided with a conjunction of the Sun and retrograde Mercury in the sign of Sagittarius.[33]

Planetary combinations for different markets

Financial astrologers believe that different commodities are affected by different planetary combinations.[39][40]Inside Gann's How to Make Profits Trading in Commodities,[3]the following associations could be identified:[32]

Lard:Venus-Jupiter

Cotton:Sun-Mercury conjunctions

Corn:Venus-Saturn

Soybean:Mars-Jupiter

Wheat:Sun-Mercury conjunctions,Venus-Jupiter,and Venus-Uranus

Rye:Sun-Mercury conjunctions,Venus-Jupiter,Venus-Saturn,and Venus-Uranus

Planteray influences on the weather along the Mississippi

Similarly,Bonnie Lee Hill[30][41]believes that Gann used astrological patterns to predict the weather in the area around the Mississippi River,and hence the price of most agricultural commodities.She thinks that Gann had hidden the rules inside his novel The Tunnel Thru the Air,[27]and they are listed below:

Weather Condition Planets Time Window Aspect Formed Details Implication in Cotton Prices

Flood Uranus and Neptune Before mid-April in each calendar year Multiples of the 8th(45°)or 12th(30°)harmonic If the two planets in question form any of the given aspects within the stated time window,then the Mississippi River will flood in that year. The supply would decrease and the price would go up.

Raininess Jupiter and Neptune If the two planets in question form any of the given aspects within the stated time window,then the rainfall along the Mississippi will be ideal to grow crops. The supply would increase and the price would fall.

Drought Saturn and Neptune If the two planets in question form any of the given aspects within the stated time window,then the Mississippi River area will experience horrible drought. The supply would decrease and the price would go up.

Price-zodiac conversion

This chart is inspired by an example in W.D.Gann's Mechanical Method and Trend Indicator(1946),in which Gann drew attention to the price level(¢103)on 16 April 1925,and 103°is also where the heliocentric Mars and Pluto were on that day.

One of the most controversial techniques that Gann used is that he converted the price directly to zodiac degrees.[30][32][33]For example,if a commodity is trading at$120 per share,he would convert it to 120°of the zodiac,which is 0°Leo.If the price makes a major aspect(e.g.conjunction,trine,square,etc.),then it is believed that the price will reach a short-term top or bottom.

When a price,after converting into a degree in the longitude,is in aspect with the planets,the trend is likely to change.For example,in Mechanical Method and Trend Indicator,[42]Gann drew attention to the price level(¢103)on 16 April 1925,“Apr 16 low 103,down 79½cents from 182½and nearing$1.00 per bushel,a natural support level—Time to watch for change in trend.”[23]Coincidentally,103°(or 13°Cancer)was where the heliocentric Mars and Pluto were in conjunction on that day.[43]

Gann also used scales other than 1 dollar or point per 1 degree.[36]Two notable scales are$12 and$30 to one degree,because the two largest planets in the solar system,Jupiter and Saturn,take approximately 12 and 30 years to orbit the Sun respectively.[30]Using$120 as an example again,it would become 10°and 4°,which are 10°and 4°Aries in terms of zodiac.Gann also uses a scale of$0.07($1/15)to 1 degree,which is based on the Earth's rotation in 24 hours(for 24 times 15°is 360°).[30]Using$120 as an example,$120 times 15 will be 1800°,and when it is divided by 360°,the remainder is 0.Therefore,it will become 0°Aries in the zodiac.

Here is an example from a private letter to a client on the coffee market:[36]

The high in the May Coffee Santos D on 19 March 1954 was 8729.

Using a scale of one point to one degree,8729°=360°×24+89°,and 89°is 29°Gemini.

Using a scale of 30 points to one degree,8729°/30=291°,and 291°is 21°Capricorn.

Using a scale of 12 points to one degree,8729°/12=727.5°=360°×2+7.5°,and 7.5°is 7°30’Aries.

Using a scale of one cent(100 points)to one degree,8729°/100=87.29°,and 87.29°is 27°17’Gemini

Gann angles

Main article:Gann angles

Gann described the use of angles in the stock market in The Basis of My Forecasting Method(1935).Calculating a Gann angle is equivalent to finding the derivative of a particular line on a chart in a simple way.[44]Each geometrical angle(which is really a line extended into space)divides time and price into proportionate parts.The most important angle Gann called the 1×1 or the 45°angle,which he said represented one unit of price for one unit of time.When one draws a perfect square and then draw a diagonal line from one corner of the square to the other,it illustrates the concept of the 1×1 angle which moves up one point per day.[45][15]

Here is an example from a private letter of Gann to a client on the coffee market:[36]

The high in the May Coffee Santos D on 19 March 1954 was 8729.

The low on 16 April 1932 was 435.Counting backward from March 1954,276 months has passed.

Using 30 points per month,the 45°line is at 435+30×276=8715

If 8715 is used as a resistance,it was just 14 from the 8729 high.

The low on 1 Oct 1936 was 300.Counting backward from April 1954,210 months has passed.

Using 30 points per month,the 45°line is at 300+30×210=6600

Using 40 points per month,the 60°line is at 300+40×210=8700

If 8700 is used as a resistance,it was just 29 from the 8729 high.

The Spiral Chart and the Hexagon Chart

Overview of the Spiral Chart

The Spiral Chart by W.D.Gann.

The Spiral Chart is a square matrix of consecutive natural numbers,in which the number 1 is in the central square,and other values spiral out from it.[18]The direction of the spiral is in counterclockwise,because Gann liked to overlay astrological charts onto the Spiral Chart,and most astrological charts spin counterclockwise.[32]It is worth noting that this chart is often mistakenly called the“Square of Nine”by modern traders,when the term was originally used by Gann to refer to another tool in his course.[9][8]

For the Spiral Chart,it is found that Gann used the following directions to overlay planetary positions:[19]

The axis going from 1 to 2,11,28,and so on are 0°or 0°Aries,the spring equinox(in the Northern Hemisphere,same for below).

The axis going from 1 to 4,15,34 and so on are 90°or 0°Cancer,the summer solstice.

The axis going from 1 to 6,19,40,69 and so on are 180°or 0°Libra,the autumn equinox.

The axis going from 1 to 8,23,46,77,etc.is 270°or 0°Capricorn,the winter solstice.

On the eight cardinal angles(45°multiples),the sequence of numbers which would appear is given by:[46]

Integers on the cardinal angles(45°×)of the Spiral Chart

Degree

Layer

0° 45° 90° 135° 180° 225° 270° 315°

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25

3 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49

4 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81

5 86 91 96 101 106 111 116 121

n 4n²−3n+1 4n²−2n+1 4n²−n+1 4n²+1 4n²+n+1 4n²+2n+1 4n²+3n+1 (2n+1)²

Mathematical formula of the Spiral Chart

To calculate the angle of a particular price on the Spiral Chart,there are two methods.[6][9]The first method is simpler than the second one,but the result is only an approximation.

Method 1 Method 2

Formula To find the approximate angle(θₚ)of Price P on the Spiral Chart:

θₚ=MOD[180°×(P−1)½−225°,360°]

Where:

P=The price of which the angle is to be found

To find the exact angle(θₚ)of Price P on the Spiral Chart:

θₚ=315°−90°×(r²−P)÷(r−1)

Where:

P=The price of which the angle is to be found

r=The smallest odd number higher than the square root of P

Example Reading from the Spiral Chart,it is known that the angular value of 73 is 225°.

Substitute P with 73 into the above formula:

θ₇₃=MOD[180°×(73−1)½−225°,360°]

=MOD[180×8.4853−225,360]°

=222.35°,which is close to 225°.

Reading from the Spiral Chart,it is known that the angular value of 73 is 225°.

Substitute P with 73 into the above formula:

Since 73½≅8.544,so n=9>8.544

θ₇₃=315°−(9²−73)×90°÷(9−1)

=315°−90°=225°

Converse Conversely,to calculate price P on the nᵗʰlayer(Pₙ)given the angleθof the Chart:

Pₙ=1+[(360°×n+225°+θ)÷180°]²

Conversely,to calculate price P on the nᵗʰlayer(Pₙ)given the angleθof the Chart:

Pₙ=r²+(θ-315)×(r-1)÷90°where r=2n+1

Anecdote

On p.69 of Gann’s novel The Tunnel Thru the Air;Or,Looking back from 1940(1927),the numbers“1940”and“69”lined up at the top of the page.[27]Incidentally,the sequence 19,40,69 appeared on one of the cardinal axes of the Spiral Chart.It was also the page in which Gann proclaimed(through the protagonist)that he had found the secret of future cycles from the Holy Bible.

Overview of the Hexagon Chart

The Hexagon Chart by W.D.Gann

Very similar to the Spiral Chart,the Hexagon Chart is also a matrix of consecutive natural numbers,but the difference is that it starts with 0 in the central point,and the numbers spiral out in the form of a hexagon instead a square.[32]The spiral direction in Gann's original course is also counterclockwise,because of its astrological overlay.[33]Mathematically,the numbers in each additional layer represent the hexagonal numbers,which are the number of distinct dots consisting of the outlines of regular hexagons.[47]

Similarly,it is found that Gann used the following method to overlay planetary positions on the Hexagon Chart:[20]

The axis going from 0 to 1,11,28,and so on are 60°or 0°Gemini.

The axis going from 0 to 2,10,24,and so on are 120°or 0°Leo.

The axis going from 0 to 3,12,27,and so on are 180°or 0°Libra.

The axis going from 0 to 4,14,30,and so on are 240°or 0°Sagittarius.

The axis going from 0 to 5,16,33,and so on are 300°or 0°Aquarius.

The axis going from 0 to 6,18,36,and so on are 0°or 0°Aries.

Again,the above mathematical relationship could be demonstrated by this mathematical formula:[46]

Integers on the cardinal angles(60°×)of the Hexagon Chart

Degree

Layer

60° 120° 180° 240° 300° 360°

1 1 2 3 4 5 6

2 8 10 12 14 16 18

3 21 24 27 30 33 36

4 40 44 48 52 56 60

5 65 70 75 80 85 90

n 3n²−2n 3n²−n 3n² 3n²+n 3n²+2n 3(n²+n)

Mathematical formula of the Hexagon Chart

Like the Spiral Chart,there are two methods of calculation.[9]

Method 1 Method 2

Formula To find the approximate angle(θₚ)of Price P on the Hexgaon chart:

θₚ=MOD[210°×P½−180°,360°]

Where:

P=The price of which the angle is to be found

To find the exact angle(θₚ)of Price P on the Hexagon Chart:

θₚ=180°−(3n²−P)×60°÷n

Where:

P=The price of which the angle is to be found

n=The smallest number higher than the square root of P/3

Example Reading from the Spiral Chart,it is known that the angular value of 44 is 120°.

Substitute P with 44 into the above formula:

θ₇₃=MOD[210°×44½−180°,360°]

=132.98°which is close to 120°

Reading from the Spiral Chart,it is known that the angular value of 44 is 120°.

Substitute P with 44 into the above formula:

Since(44/3)½≅3.8297,so n=4>3.8297

θ₄₄=180°−(3×4²-44)×60°÷4=120°

Converse Conversely,to calculate price P on the nᵗʰlayer(Pₙ)given the angleθof the Chart:

Pₙ=[(360°×n+180°+θ)÷210°]²

Conversely,to calculate price P on the nᵗʰlayer(Pₙ)given the angleθof the Chart:

Pₙ=3n²−(180°−θ×n÷60°)

Practical examples

In March,Saturn was at 224°and Venus was at 344°.The corn top price was¢137,which was around 104°,thus the three points loosely formed a Grand Trine.

According to Patrick Mikula,[32]the rule of using the Spiral Chart or the Hexagon Chart is as follows:

Identify the planetary combination(s)which governs the price movements of the commodity.For example,as stated above,corn is sensitive to Venus and Saturn.

Look for a date when the planetary combinations ruling the commodity makes a major astrological aspect,like opposition,trine and square.

Overlay the Spiral or Hexagon Chart onto the horoscope in the following way:

On the Spiral Chart,0°Aries shall align with the axis of 1,2,11,28,53 and so on.

On the Hexagon Chart,0°Aries shall align with the axis of 0,6,18,36,60 and so on.

Find the current price on the Spiral or Hexagon Chart.For example,$36 is roughly at 135°on the Spiral Chart,and at 0°on the Hexagon Chart.

See if the price makes any aspect to the planetary combination:

If the combination involves Jupiter,then compare the angle of the price to Jupiter;

Else,compare to the outer planet of the two.

In the case of Venus-Saturn,since Jupiter is not involved,the price is compared against Saturn.

If the price makes an important aspect to Jupiter or the outer planet,then a turning point may have been reached.

The important aspects in the Spiral Chart are the multiples of 45°and 120°,i.e.0°,45°,90°,120°,135°,180°,225°,240°,270°and 315°.

The important aspects in the Hexagon Chart are the multiples of 60°and 90°,i.e.0°,60°,90°,120°,180°,240°,270°and 300°

By repeated experimentation,the trader can determine with chart(Spiral or Hexagon)works better on which commodity,and so forth.

Here are a few actual trading examples in Corn given by Gann in How to Make Profits Trading in Commodities:A Study of the Commodity Market.[3]As stated earlier,Gann thought that the price of corn was influenced by the aspects of Venus and Saturn,thus the angle of the price on the Hexagon Chart is compared against Saturn.Please note that the minimum fluctuation in corn futures is¼cent.[48]

Date Corn Market Planetary Aspects Price-Planet Aspects ¢Off %Off

Oct 1866 Bottom at¢33¾. Venus(312°)square Saturn(222°) ¢33½(311°)conjunct Venus and square Saturn. ½ 1.5%

Oct 1884 Bottom at¢34½ Venus(173°)square Saturn(83°) ¢34(324°)inconjunct Venus and trine Saturn. ½ 1.4%

Jun 1891 Top at¢75½ Venus(72°)square Saturn(162°) ¢77(223°)semisexile Venus and sexile Saturn. 1½ 2.0%

May 1916 Bottom at¢63 Venus conjunct Saturn(104°) ¢62¾(44°)sexile the conjunction. ¼ 0.4%

May 1920 Top at¢197 Venus(34°)trine Saturn(154°) ¢192½(214°)opposite Venus and sexile Saturn. 4½ 2.3%

May 1923 Top at¢84½ Venus(73°)trine Saturn(193°) ¢84¾(313°)trine both Venus and Saturn. ¼ 0.3%

Mar 1925 Top at¢137 Venus(344°)trine Saturn(224°) ¢135½(104°)trine both Venus and Saturn. 1½ 1.1%

Jun 1928 Top at¢122 Venus(75°)opposite Saturn(255°) ¢122½(344°)square both Venus and Saturn. ½ 0.4%

Jul 1928 Bottom at¢76½ Venus(133°)trine Saturn(253°) ¢77(223°)square Venus and sexile Saturn. ½ 0.7%

Jun 1930 Top at¢88 Venus(100°)opposite Saturn(280°) ¢87¼(342°)trine Venus and sexile Saturn. ¾ 0.9%

Apr 1931 Bottom at¢51½ Venus(353°)sexile Saturn(293°) ¢50½(233°)trine Venus and sexile Saturn. 1 1.9%

Apr 1932 Bottom at¢27½ Venus(63°)trine Saturn(303°) ¢26¾(186°)trine both Venus and Saturn. ¾ 2.7%

Oct 1933 Bottom at¢44 Venus(250°)sexile Saturn(310°) ¢43¾(129°)trine Venus and opposite Saturn. ¼ 0.6%

Apr 1934 Bottom at¢40 Venus conjunct Saturn(324°) ¢41(84°)trine both Venus and Saturn. 1 2.5%

Please note that the price-degree conversions are based Method 1 described in the previous section,instead of the exact graphical angles on the Hexagon Chart.

Eclipses

There are two ways that Gann made use of eclipses.The first one is that,when a planet returns to its position during a recent eclipse,then trend is likely to change.[32]The second way is that when a planet crosses an eclipse spot which happens during a market top or bottom,then the down or up move will accelerate.[33]

Planetary averages

Gann maintained two formulas for calculating planetary averages.[30][36]The first one is called the Mean of Five(MOF),which is arithmetic mean of the geocentric and heliocentric longitudes of the outer five planets:Jupiter,Saturn,Uranus,Neptune and Pluto.The other is called the Cycle of Eight(COE),which include all eight planets in its calculation,using both geocentric and heliocentric longitudes(the Sun replaces the Earth in the geocentric calculation).He thinks that when these averaged values make an aspect to the price,it will create support or resistance.[30]

Personal view on religion

Even though Gann was thought to be“religious”,[25]a careful analysis of his writings finds that he did not agree with the conventional Christian teachings.On page 99 to 100 of his novel The Tunnel Thru the Air(1927),[27]Gann revealed some of his personal believes towards religion through a conversation between the protagonist,Robert Gordon,and his mother:

“She talked to Robert of his future and told him she hoped he would be a preacher.Robert confided to her that he could never be an orthodox minister,for he could not preach and teach the things which the orthodox ministers were teaching.He did not believe in a personal devil or believe in Hell,but believed in a God of Love and Justice.He did not believe that God would inflict upon any of his children eternal punishment but thought that whatsoever a man soweth,that shall he also reap and that we receive our reward here upon earth.

“He told her that the Bible plainly said that the kingdom of heaven is within us and he believed it.If we kept our conscience clear and did unto others as we would like to have them do unto us,he believed we would find our heaven and our reward here upon earth.Said that times and conditions were changing rapidly;that the new inventions and discoveries caused men to think differently than in the old days;that the old religious ideas would pass away and give place to more liberal,advanced ideas.He hoped to live to see the day when men would not only be too proud to fight,but would be too full of love for their fellowman to settle disputes with the sword.This was God's plan and it would come to pass this way,and he believed that he could be a great power for peace and hoped to live to see a world of peace with all nations united under one kingdom and one God,the God of Love and Justice.”

Twenty-three years later,on page 21 of his book The Magic Word(1950),[49]he expressed similar ideas:

“The Bible is simple when rightly understood.It teaches the Divine Law,its uses and abuses.Whether a law is divine or natural,it is made plain that if you disobey the law,you must pay the penalty and if you obey or follow the law,your reward is certain.”

“The Bible does not teach reward after death but promises reward or a reaping now while you are here on this earth.Jesus said,‘As ye sow,also shall ye reap.’He did not say‘after death’but here and now.Too many have preached that we should live a life of sacrifice here on earth and wait until after death to receive the reward.This is not what people want.They want something practical.They want to receive their reward here on earth.If they put forth the right effort,they want to know that they will receive the reward here on earth.”

“All natural laws teach and prove that we do get our reward on this earth.Job obeyed the law and got twice as much as he had while he was still on earth.There is nothing in the Bible that says these laws will not work today and I shall prove by the Bible that they do.”

Controversy

There has been a general disagreement whether Gann himself made profits by speculation.[50][51]Alexander Elder,in his book Trading for a Living,[16]said“I interviewed W.D.Gann’s son,an analyst for a Boston bank.He told me that his famous father could not support his family by trading but earned his living by writing and selling instructional courses.When W.D.Gann died in the 1950s,his estate,including his house,was valued at slightly over$100,000.”Larry Williams,in the book The Right Stock at the Right Time,[17]also stated he met W.D Gann's son.Larry Williams stated that John Gann said“He asked why if his dad was a good as everyone said,the son was still smiling and dialing calling up customers to trade”.Larry Williams in the same book says“I also met F.B Thatcher who had been Gann’s promoter and advance man who said that Gann was just a good promoter,not necessarily a good stock trader”.

Bibliography

Speculation A Profitable Profession(1910)

Truth of The Stock Tape(1923)

Tunnel Thru The Air(1927)

Wall Street Stock Selector(1930)

New Stock Trend Detector(1936)

Face Facts America(1940)

How to Make Profits in Commodities(1941)

How to Make Profits Trading In Puts And Calls(1941)

45 Years in Wall Street(1949)

The Magic Word(1950)

WD Gann Economic Forecaster(1954)

The following books are also believed to be written by W.D.Gann using a pseudonym:[52][53]

The Ancient Science of Numbers(1908)by Luo Clement

Astrology and Stock Market Forecasting(1937)by Louise McWhirter

江恩.txt · 最后更改: 2020/06/09 17:37 由 119.251.17.194